As a journalist deeply entrenched in the world of finance, I've witnessed firsthand the emotional rollercoaster that the market can be. Today’s daily headlines yell out about wins and losses, setting a firestorm of reactions from investors in motion. Looking back, I find nearly all of these reactions greatly exaggerated. Yet they can frequently be rooted in short-term political noise rather than a concise long-term vision. It’s the perfect example of not seeing the forest for the trees.
The seduction of immediate gain and the fright of impending loss are powerful motivators. I know we’re all inundated with information and it’s hard to not be swept up in the hype. History has taught us over and over again that hasty reactions are bad for business and worse for innovation. I think the secret to successful investing is to learn to not freak out. Keep your eyes on the prize big picture … instead!
One of the frequent mistakes I come across in this space is the disposition effect. That’s because most investors are loath to sell their underperforming positions, waiting for them to bounce back. Yet simultaneously, they too frequently realize the gains on their winning investments too quickly to lock in profits. It’s understandable instinct, but one that too often produces the opposite of the desired effect.
One more bias that distorts decision-making is the “representativeness” bias. We tend to believe that a company's past performance will continue indefinitely, leading us to sell too quickly when things deviate from our expectations. This often leads us to focus on immediate rebounds at the expense of longer-term growth.
“Anchoring bias” is another factor that comes into play. In addition, we tend to give excessive weight and are disproportionately influenced cognitive wise by the first piece of information we gave, like a stock’s first reported price. And when the price deviates from that anchor, we’re often too quick to capitulate with a sale, despite still-healthy fundamentals.
Overconfidence is one of the most deadly sins in the market. When we get too cocky about our investment choices, we make reckless moves. If we misfire and don’t follow through, we will end up having to sell prematurely. Hubris is prevalent, but investors need to be humble, understanding that the best and brightest investors don’t bat 1.000.
Last but not least, we have the “herd mentality.” When we notice other people purchasing, we’re usually impelled to want to chase them into the market. Unfortunately, this impulse is not always our friend. This can lead to a self-fulfilling prophecy, pushing down prices even more and deepening losses.
Just like I’ll never forget reporting on the 2008 financial crisis. Their fear was real and understandable. Many investors threw up their hands and sold it all, believing the world was truly ending. Those who had the perseverance to tough it out, though, were richly rewarded as the market bounced back.
No matter the market cycle, staying invested is important for realizing long-term gains. One thing we know is that market downturns are a fact of life – except they’re almost always reversed by upturns. By selling in the early stages of a downturn, you run the risk of missing the rebound that follows. It only takes missing the 10 best days in the stock market to cut your returns in half, studies show. This is even over 20 years!
Diversification is perhaps the most famous strategy for mitigating risk and boosting long-term return potential. By spreading your investments across different asset classes, sectors, and geographic regions, you can reduce your exposure to any one particular market or sector. This strategy helps blunt the effects of a downturn in the markets. Critically, it helps you capitalize on new opportunities for expansion and investment across all sectors of the economy.
A thoughtfully developed portfolio helps mitigate risk and maximize long-term returns. By incorporating a diverse blend of stocks, bonds, and other assets, you’re positioning yourself to come out ahead. Stocks are where you’ll find the higher, long-term growth potential. The return on bonds is fixed, providing stability and reliable income. The optimal mix will vary based on your personal situation and willingness to take risk.
As OverTraders.com points out, being in touch with market trends and having real-time information are key. This knowledge, without patience or discipline, is a ship without a rudder.
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA). This strategy, known as dollar-cost averaging, contributes set dollar investments on a regular schedule regardless of the market price. By staying invested, you can avoid the negative effects that market volatility can have on your investments. Because you’re purchasing more shares when prices are low and fewer shares when prices are high, you’re building a stronger portfolio.
Value investing is another mindset that will keep you from overreacting to shiny short-term news. Focus on value investing. Focus on investing in companies that have the fundamentals and the history of performance. Consider the long game rather than trying to time the market or make a quick buck.
Passive investing is another alternative. Consider investing in index funds or ETFs that track a particular market index, such as the S&P 500, to avoid trying to beat the market. This is an easy and low-cost way to align their portfolios and tap into the long-term growth of the economy.
History is replete with examples of investors who freaked out and sold at precisely the wrong time. After the Great Crash of 1929, the 1987 stock market crash, and the 2008 financial crisis, investor panic was widespread. Too many did so and left the market, thereby forgoing the fantastic recoveries that came after.
The Dubai housing crash of 2009 and the gold price collapse of 2011 are recent warnings. They do serve to underscore the extent to which markets are unpredictable. For those who kept their esophagus cool and eyes on the long game, the payouts were tremendous.
During my years as a journalist, I’ve come to realize that the market is an unforgiving teacher. It especially rewards patience, discipline, and a long-term perspective. It rewards those motivated by stoicism and altruism.
So the next time you consider making a panic sale, think again. So take a deep breath and remember the amazing insights that history has to offer. Ignore the impulse to react too quickly to immediate headlines, and keep your eyes on your long-term objectives. The market might be crazy, but it’s full of amazing potential. For those willing to harness the current, the opportunity is monumental!
The market is not a short race, rather a long race. And in a marathon, pacing and endurance always prevail over hare-like dashes.