OverTraders.com is focused on delivering smart, independent, analysis traders and investors can trust. This article takes a look at the best stock picks Jim Cramer likes. As one of the financial world’s superstars, his ears are always in demand. His comments are able to move markets. To truly understand the fundamentals and future market opportunities of these companies we can all make better investment decisions. In subsequent posts, we’ll drill down into the individual stocks that he chose to target. We’ll be assessing their business models and long-term outlooks, considering the economic reality of today’s world.
What Makes a Cramer Stock a "Cramer Stock?"
These are the descriptors you hear Cramer repeat when talking about public companies that he likes. These qualities are a good guide in understanding his investment rationale.
- Solid Business Model: The company should operate within a clearly defined and profitable industry, demonstrating a sustainable competitive advantage. This may be due to a proprietary product, brand power or a superior cost structure.
Strong Leadership: Effective management is critical for navigating challenges and capitalizing on opportunities. Cramer—time and again—cautiously searches for leaders who have a history of innovation and bold decision-making, strategic decision-making.
- Ability to Defy Orthodoxy: Companies that challenge conventional thinking and disrupt established markets can generate significant returns. This usually means adopting disruptive technologies or market paradigms.
Loyal Shareholder Base: A dedicated investor base can provide stability and support the stock price, even during periods of volatility. This loyalty is gained by delivering on essentials with the utmost reliability and providing clear, understandable communication.
Ability to Trade Independently of the Business for Years and Years: This suggests a company whose stock can perform well regardless of short-term market fluctuations, indicating long-term growth potential.
These criteria showcase Cramer’s commitment to investing in companies with sound fundamentals, fresh ideas, and the capacity for long-term growth. As with any investment strategy, there are no assurances of success, and careful due diligence is prudent at all times.
Analyzing Cramer's Current Favorites
Cramer lately turned the spotlight on several stocks in multiple sectors. Let's examine a few of these, considering their business models and potential for growth:
Home Improvement: Home Depot
Home Depot, the largest US specialty home improvement retailer, has been a perennial Cramer favorite and he expects great things. His logic focuses around an assumption of lower mortgage rates and a stabilization in spending on big-ticket renovation projects. If mortgage rates fall, some estimate that home sales would grow by more than 1 million, adding to strong demand for home improvement products. Lastly, as interest rates settle, homeowners will be more likely to invest in large expansions or retrofits.
Home Depot’s core competencies include its well-known brand, huge product inventory and experienced employees. The company has some serious trouble spots, with intense pressure from online competitors, and an unstable housing market. Investors should keep an eye on these three factors to gauge the long-term success of Home Depot’s growth prospects.
Cybersecurity: Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike
The cybersecurity workforce is one of the fastest growing fields. Underlying this explosion is the growing sophistication of cyber attacks and our dependence on digital infrastructure. Cramer thinks that Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike are best-poised to profit from this trend.
Palo Alto Networks is the world’s leading cybersecurity company providing unified protection across the attack surface with intelligent network security, cloud-delivered security services, and advanced endpoint protection. CrowdStrike is the leader in cloud-delivered endpoint protection, threat intelligence and incident response services. Combined with exceptional revenue growth, both companies have quickly established themselves as leaders at seemingly rapid pace in their respective areas. The cybersecurity market is extremely competitive. To successfully navigate this burgeoning landscape, investors will need to think critically about the competitive landscape and determine each company's ability to innovate and adapt to new and evolving threats.
Streaming: Netflix
The leader of the streaming space, Netflix, has just been picked by Cramer. He acknowledged that Netflix is an incredible deal, providing content for the right, the left, and everybody. Netflix’s secret weapon has been their library of original content. This, combined with its extensive subscriber base, undoubtedly grants the platform a huge advantage in the streaming market.
Competition from other streaming services, like Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video, has hurt Netflix’s performance. The company must continue to invest in high-quality content and innovate its platform to retain subscribers and attract new ones. Netflix’s international growth creates opportunities and threats, as it treads a fine line between differing regulatory regimes and cultural tastes.
Telecommunications: T-Mobile
T-Mobile is an important company in the rapidly changing telecommunications landscape, and Cramer is bullish on the stock’s prospects. T-Mobile has captured a lot of market share as a result of its aggressive pricing moves and its laser-like focus on 5G network deployment. That competitive position has been fortified by the company’s merger with Sprint.
The telecommunications industry is known as hyper-competitive and as one of the industries with the most rigorous regulatory oversight. T-Mobile needs to keep enhancing its network infrastructure and rolling out cutting-edge services to stay ahead of the competition. The generic answer supply chain challenges put a high premium on the company’s ability to manage its elevated debt load. Sustainable cash flow generation will be key to its long-term success.
Retail: TJX and Costco
Besides Amazon, the two retail giants often touted by Cramer are TJX and Costco. Expressing their extreme vulnerability to both professional and big-ticket renovation outlays. TJX runs off-price retail stores, where shoppers can find discounted designer and brand-name apparel and home furnishings. Costco Wholesale Corporation is a membership-based warehouse club that provides a variety of products and services at wholesale prices.
After all, both companies have a knack for persevering when the economy gets rough. TJX's off-price model appeals to value-conscious consumers, while Costco's membership model fosters customer loyalty. But now, both companies are contending with challenges like supply chain crises and inflationary headwinds. Public equity investors would do well to pay close attention to these factors in judging these companies’ continued ability to sustain their profitability and growth.
The Cramer Effect: A Mixed Bag
Monitoring Cramer’s stock picks may feel like a no-brainer investment success strategy. If you look at the data historically, the story is more complicated. A look back at some of his recommendations shows a mixed bag of results, highlighting the importance of independent research and critical evaluation.
For example, those who acted on Cramer's recommendation to buy EPR Properties stocks saw the company's shares plummet by 74.30% in the subsequent month. Callon Petroleum stocks were hit hard by a recent “sell” call. Over the next month, shares tumbled by an incredible 80.80%. Most importantly, these examples highlight the danger of taking any investment advice at face value, even if it comes from the so-called trustworthy sources.
There have equally been times when Cramer’s buy and sell calls turned out to be extremely lucrative. A recent “buy” call on Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) stocks sparked a fantastic 154.9% return for investors lucky enough to follow it. Those “buy” recommendations on Plug Power and Moderna shares turned out very well. Each stock subsequently doubled in value (more than 100% return) within 30 days of the recommendations.
Even the good sounding calls have a turn of events. Those who sold Nio shares in July 2020, following Cramer's advice, witnessed an 8% increase in the company's stock price the very next day. For perspective, Nio experienced a staggering 1,501% appreciation over the full year. This amazing success really underscores the risk of lost potential if you look only at the short-term recommendations.
These contradictory results are an example of how unpredictable the stock market can be. They always stress the importance of doing your own comprehensive research first before investing. Cramer’s reflections offer important lines of sight. Do keep those in mind along with basic analysis, risk tolerance, and your own investment objectives. We reiterate that investors should never expect one recommendation to be a big winner. Further, they should not use it as a substitute for their own sort of baseline third-party evaluation.
Conclusion: Informed Decisions are Key
Aside from misses and learn-from mistakes, Cramer’s stock picks provide massive 24/7/365 value through exposure to potentially promising companies, sectors and industries. His focus on clear business models, deep leadership, and innovation at the nexus of need and technology offers an invaluable lens through which to assess investment opportunities. It’s important to keep in mind that his recommendations are not magic bullets.
The Investor should do their own research through due diligence accounting for fundamental market factors, competitive landscape, and the overall macroeconomic condition. Cramer’s analysis, bolstered by original research, gives investors the tools they need to make informed decisions. By better understanding their own risk tolerance, investors can make more informed decisions and increase their likelihood of achieving their desired financial outcomes. OverTraders.com encourages every trader and investor to question the market. Put solid research first. Research is critical to any successful investment strategy.